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Sunday, June 2, 2013
Friday, May 31, 2013
'We'll destroy your missiles if you deliver them to Assad' , PM indicated to Putin: The Times of Israel
Russian President Vladimir Putin, right, listens to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during their meeting at the Bocharov Ruchei residence in the Black Sea resort of Sochi, Russia, Tuesday, May 14, 2013. (photo credit: AP/ Maxim Shipenkov)
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu hinted during his recent meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin that Israel would destroy Syrian S-300 missiles before they became fully operational, Maariv cited Middle Eastern diplomats saying Friday. The reported threat underlined how firmly Israel has sought to pressure Russia to cancel the deal, apparently with some success.
According to the report, during the meeting between the heads of stateearlier this month in the Black Sea city of Sochi, Netanyahu called on Putin to cancel Russia’s transfer of the sophisticated anti-aircraft system to Syrian President Bashar Assad, and indicated that, should the delivery go ahead, Israel would strike the missiles before they became operational.
The report came the same day thatAmerican and German officialswarned Russia not to send Assad the S-300 anti-aircraft missiles, and as Russian media indicated that Moscow was delaying delivery.
Officials present at the Netanyahu-Putin meeting “were shocked by the audacity Netanyahu displayed before a leader of a global power,” the Israeli paper reported.
Putin reportedly guaranteed that Assad wouldn’t transfer the S-300s to a third party, such as Hezbollah, and that should Israel strike such an arms convoy, Russia didn’t believe Syria would retaliate. Despite this, Netanyahu reportedly made clear that Israel was concerned over the deal in and of itself.
The Russian president was said to respond to Netanyahu saying that the deal had to go through, but hinted that Israel could prevent the transfer if it, or another entity, bought the missiles instead or “offered an alternative,” according to Maariv.
Israeli media had earlier reported that Netanyahu warned Putin of a descent into war should Russia make the delivery. Netanyahu said that if acquired by Assad, the S-300 “is likely to draw us into a response, and could send the region deteriorating into war,” Channel 2 reported two weeks ago, in the immediate aftermath of the meeting.
Russia has not yet delivered advanced S-300 missiles to Syria, despite rather vague Syrian indications to the contrary, two Russian media outlets reported on Friday.
The Russian business daily Vedomosti said that it was unclear whether or not the air-defense systems would be delivered this year, while the daily Kommersant reported that the S-300 missiles would only be delivered in the second quarter of 2014. According to Kommersant, the systems would need another six months of testing and training before they become operational.
The Lebanese newspaper al-Diyar reported Friday that Israel had succeeded in thwarting the missile deal by threatening to start an all-out war should Russia deliver the S-300s to the embattled Bashar Assad regime.
The report also claimed that Putin offered to compensate Assad with the delivery of other “effective and powerful weapons,” including modern aircraft and helicopters, to use against the Syrian rebels. According to al-Diyar, Putin also passed a message to Assad saying that the entry of Hezbollah into the Syrian conflict was not helpful. Hezbollah has a reported 5,000-7,000 gunmen now fighting with Assad’s forces.
Israeli sources said Thursday that Syria has only paid for one-third of the S-300 contract. They added that, even if the deal is eventually honored, it would take months for the S-300 batteries to be operational.
“It is not clear to me that the Russians are interested in transferring the weapons. Right now, it’s more of a threat,” said Ehud Ya’ari, Channel 2′s veteran, well-connected commentator.
In remarks erroneously attributed to Assad on Thursday, the Syrian president was said to have boasted in a TV interview that his country had received a first S-300 shipment from Russia, and to have asserted that “the rest of the load will arrive soon.” Israeli officials immediately said he was lying and bluffing.
What Assad actually said in the interview, on Hezbollah’s al-Manar television broadcast Thursday night, was that Russia had fulfilled some of its weapons contracts recently, but he was vague on whether this included the advanced air-defense systems.
Russia’s declared intention to deliver the sophisticated systems, which can intercept fighter jets and cruise missiles, has created a tense standoff between Israel, Syria, and Russia, with Israel threatening to do “whatever it takes” to prevent the weapons being deployed, and Syria responding that it would retaliate in kind for any Israeli strike.
Aside from the unique strategic capacities that the S-300 air-defense missiles would afford Syria, putting planes taking off from central Israel and its main international airport within the missiles’ range, Jerusalem also fears that the system could fall into the hands of terror groups like Hezbollah.
Yoel Goldman and Stuart Winer contributed to this report.
Thursday, May 30, 2013
AfricanLeaders to Create a Rapid-Reaction Force
African leaders said Monday that they would immediately create a military rapid-reaction force to deal with regional coups, rebellions and wars, seeking to reduce the continent’s reliance on foreign troops and funds for its defense. Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn of Ethiopia, who is chairman of the African Union, announced the creation of the African Capacity for Immediate Response to Crises, and said President Jacob Zuma of South Africa had proposed the force. So far, South Africa, Ugandaand Ethiopia have pledged to contribute to it, officials said at an African Union meeting in Ethiopia.
Friday, May 24, 2013
Kerry to Visit Ethiopia for Security Talks
U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry is headed to Ethiopia for security talks with regional officials and to attend a 50th anniversary celebration for the African Union.
Kerry's three-day visit begins Friday in Addis Ababa, where the State Department says he will meet with senior Ethiopian officials to discuss "bilateral issues."
On Saturday, he will join African leaders and other foreign dignitaries at an AU summit that will celebrate 50 years of the pan-African organization, which used to be referred to as the Organization of African Unity.
Kerry's visit is expected to include talks on efforts to battle Islamist extremists in countries such as Mali and northern Nigeria.
During recent talks with his Nigerian counterpart, Kerry reaffirmed U.S. support for Nigeria's fight against Boko Haram militants in the north, where a state of emergency has been declared.
In Mali, French troops are beginning to wrap up an offensive against Islamist fighters who had seized control of the north. Analysts say the U.S. is looking to help provide counter-insurgency training to regional forces who are taking over.
Kerry also will likely discuss violence along the fragile and undecided border of Sudan and South Sudan, where human rights groups have warned that outlawed militant groups are taking advantage of the instability.
Kerry's three-day visit begins Friday in Addis Ababa, where the State Department says he will meet with senior Ethiopian officials to discuss "bilateral issues."
On Saturday, he will join African leaders and other foreign dignitaries at an AU summit that will celebrate 50 years of the pan-African organization, which used to be referred to as the Organization of African Unity.
Kerry's visit is expected to include talks on efforts to battle Islamist extremists in countries such as Mali and northern Nigeria.
During recent talks with his Nigerian counterpart, Kerry reaffirmed U.S. support for Nigeria's fight against Boko Haram militants in the north, where a state of emergency has been declared.
In Mali, French troops are beginning to wrap up an offensive against Islamist fighters who had seized control of the north. Analysts say the U.S. is looking to help provide counter-insurgency training to regional forces who are taking over.
Kerry also will likely discuss violence along the fragile and undecided border of Sudan and South Sudan, where human rights groups have warned that outlawed militant groups are taking advantage of the instability.
Thursday, May 23, 2013
Thursday, May 9, 2013
German elections: Merkel has more Europe in mind - FT.com
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The turning point in Germany’s strategic thinking towards the EU came in the midsummer of 2011, according to the best-informed analysts in Berlin.
That was when Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, became convinced that short-term “sticking plaster” solutions to the eurozone crisis were no longer adequate to stabilise the euro and that a more fundamental approach must be adopted.
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ON THIS STORY
- European Union Seeking the road to redemption
- Trade Fate of transatlantic agreement hinges on political pragmatism
- Reforms Hint of comfort shows need to bolster process
- Banking union Work proceeds on bank rules
- Fiscal union Integration put on back burner
ON THIS TOPIC
- Euro rises after positive German data
- German companies weigh in against Tobin tax
- Neo-Nazi trial suspended in Germany
- Skilled labour shortage tests Germany
IN THE FUTURE OF THE EUROPEAN UNION 2013
Yet 18 months on from the party conference in Leipzig when Ms Merkel’s ruling Christian Democratic Union called for big new steps towards “fiscal union” and “political union” to underpin the common currency, the debate in Germany has gone quiet.
The country is in the midst of an election campaign to choose a new government in September and yet the future of Europe and the eurozone is the elephant in the room: everyone knows it is the most important issue facing the next German government but no one is making it a big bone of contention.
One reason is that all the main political parties are broadly agreed that “more Europe” is the right way forward. But none of them is sure how to get there.
The other reason is that the opposition Social Democratic party (SPD), and their allies in the Green party, are conscious that the eurozone crisis plays well for Ms Merkel in the election campaign.
“The chancellor has positioned herself in such a way that people are reassured Germany won’t throw good money after bad,” says Michael Roth, SPD European affairs spokesman in the Bundestag. “Europe is too important [for us] to commit the danger of populism. [So] the SPD has pursued a constructive policy, with a very difficult debate inside the party.”
Angelica Schwall-Düren, Europe minister for the state of North Rhine-Westphalia, and another leading SPD official on EU affairs, says: “Europe will certainly be a theme, but not a central theme of the debate between ... the two candidates [for chancellor].”
That may change, with the launch of a new euro-sceptic party – the Alternative for Germany (AfD) – challenging the political consensus in support of the euro. “We are not anti-Europe but we are anti-euro,” says Bernd Lucke, leader of the new party.
No eurosceptic party has ever gained more than the 5 per cent minimum needed for seats in the German Bundestag, or any state legislature, but if the AfD were to win just 3 per cent support, it might upset Germany’s finely balanced election arithmetic.
Ms Merkel’s CDU, and her liberal allies in the Free Democratic party, are vulnerable to a marginal loss of support.
This has not stopped the chancellor banging her pro-integration drum.
“We need more Europe,” she declared at the annual conference of savings banks in Dresden in April. “We cannot have a common currency where everyone pursues different principles.”
She wants to see the 17 eurozone members, plus as many of the non-euro EU members as possible, agree on much closer economic and fiscal policy to complement monetary union along the lines proposed by Herman Van Rompuy, European Council president. A banking union is the next step. Closer political union is the end game.
Ms Merkel stops short of any measures that might involve the “mutualisation” of debt in the eurozone and mean German taxpayers bailing out bankrupt banks in other eurozone countries.
“The chancellor has killed the subject of eurozone bonds,” says Mr Roth. “If you raise the subject [during the campaign], you can be destroyed politically.”
It means that, while Peer Steinbrück, SPD candidate for chancellor, and Sigmar Gabriel, party chairman, have floated the idea in the past of eurozone bonds, or a common eurozone debt redemption fund, as part of the integration process, they have gone very quiet on the subject now.
The government in Berlin is also divided on the need for full-scale EU treaty change to reinforce the integration process. Both Wolfgang Schäuble, Ms Merkel’s finance minister, and Guido Westerwelle, foreign minister and former FDP leader, have said they think treaty change is essential. But the chancellor now suggests that only minor amendments may be necessary “for the time being”.
In that, she seems to be conscious of what her EU partners can accept – especially France. Ms Merkel is acutely aware that François Hollande, the French president, wants to avoid any treaty change that might split his Socialist party in a subsequent referendum.
Mr Steinbrück does not want to offend Mr Hollande either, as a fellow socialist leader. But there are limits to how far he will go to demonstrate solidarity with the French leader.
On the divisive subject of austerity versus growth, the SPD candidate is determined not to be painted as an irresponsible supporter of deficit-financed spending, any more than Ms Merkel.
Whatever hopes there may be in other eurozone capitals for a post-election change in German attitudes in favour of faster growth and less austerity in the monetary union, no big shift seems likely from any future coalition.
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